MANTA (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15163. 12 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 2958.67917 / (1 + e^(-0.24722(t - 45.85653))) | 2958.67917 | 0.24722 | 45.85653 | 0.99767 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 564.72726 / (1 + e^(-0.23378(t - 45.36095))) | 564.72726 | 0.23378 | 45.36095 | 0.99821 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2339.96993 / (1 + e^(-0.25000(t - 46.00291))) | 2339.96993 | 0.25000 | 46.00291 | 0.99735 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 38.02419 / (1 + e^(-0.30309(t - 43.33278))) | 38.02419 | 0.30309 | 43.33278 | 0.99881 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 10.99637 / (1 + e^(-0.24536(t - 49.25709))) | 10.99637 | 0.24536 | 49.25709 | 0.99683 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00124 / (1 + e^(-0.29542(t - 45.07994))) | 5.00124 | 0.29542 | 45.07994 | 0.98822 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2942.68153 / (1 + e^(-0.24726(t - 45.84496))) | 2942.68153 | 0.24726 | 45.84496 | 0.99768 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 11.99316 / (1 + e^(-0.24346(t - 45.12655))) | 11.99316 | 0.24346 | 45.12655 | 0.99782 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 11.8% | 349 | 106 | 233 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 349 | 2 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 46.2% | 1,368 | 265 | 1,077 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 1,362 | 6 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 63.1% | 1,868 | 374 | 1,454 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 1,860 | 8 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.1% | 2,696 | 511 | 2,133 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 2,682 | 11 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 91.1% | 2,696 | 511 | 2,133 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 2,682 | 11 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,960 | 565 | 2,341 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 2,944 | 12 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex