LA PEÑA (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15148. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4193.10988 / (1 + e^(-0.18674(t - 61.77828))) | 4193.10988 | 0.18674 | 61.77828 | 0.99137 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 626.69656 / (1 + e^(-0.16875(t - 62.40183))) | 626.69656 | 0.16875 | 62.40183 | 0.99188 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3501.46956 / (1 + e^(-0.19032(t - 61.69866))) | 3501.46956 | 0.19032 | 61.69866 | 0.99122 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 37.03510 / (1 + e^(-0.16267(t - 60.74519))) | 37.03510 | 0.16267 | 60.74519 | 0.99248 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 16.06083 / (1 + e^(-0.16536(t - 61.09832))) | 16.06083 | 0.16536 | 61.09832 | 0.97994 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 12.01283 / (1 + e^(-0.21778(t - 58.85575))) | 12.01283 | 0.21778 | 58.85575 | 0.99271 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4165.03599 / (1 + e^(-0.18676(t - 61.78866))) | 4165.03599 | 0.18676 | 61.78866 | 0.99138 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 19.04066 / (1 + e^(-0.16045(t - 60.92982))) | 19.04066 | 0.16045 | 60.92982 | 0.98998 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 1.6% | 66 | 19 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 1 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 4.6% | 194 | 37 | 152 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 191 | 2 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 4.6% | 194 | 37 | 152 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 191 | 2 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 4.6% | 194 | 37 | 152 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 191 | 2 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 28.0% | 1,174 | 175 | 978 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1,166 | 6 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 40.6% | 1,700 | 239 | 1,431 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 1,687 | 8 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 40.6% | 1,700 | 239 | 1,431 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 1,687 | 8 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 94.7% | 3,966 | 565 | 3,339 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 94.7% | 3,966 | 565 | 3,339 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 94.7% | 3,966 | 565 | 3,339 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,187 | 626 | 3,496 | 37 | 16 | 12 | 4,159 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex