GUADUAS (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15115. 73 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 15140.24096 / (1 + e^(-0.16804(t - 46.30552))) | 15140.24096 | 0.16804 | 46.30552 | 0.99944 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4942.96720 / (1 + e^(-0.16839(t - 46.31198))) | 4942.96720 | 0.16839 | 46.31198 | 0.99927 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 9796.94724 / (1 + e^(-0.16856(t - 46.37246))) | 9796.94724 | 0.16856 | 46.37246 | 0.99946 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 232.11968 / (1 + e^(-0.15271(t - 42.81332))) | 232.11968 | 0.15271 | 42.81332 | 0.99936 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 148.03364 / (1 + e^(-0.17708(t - 45.52888))) | 148.03364 | 0.17708 | 45.52888 | 0.99914 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 20.04827 / (1 + e^(-0.22816(t - 56.56383))) | 20.04827 | 0.22816 | 56.56383 | 0.99147 |
| Validos | y(t) = 14972.11918 / (1 + e^(-0.16810(t - 46.30105))) | 14972.11918 | 0.16810 | 46.30105 | 0.99944 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 73.08501 / (1 + e^(-0.14379(t - 44.00259))) | 73.08501 | 0.14379 | 44.00259 | 0.99915 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.7% | 112 | 32 | 76 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.0% | 154 | 33 | 114 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.9% | 744 | 179 | 533 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 737 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 12.7% | 1,916 | 610 | 1,231 | 52 | 21 | 2 | 1,893 | 16 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 21.4% | 3,239 | 1,105 | 2,011 | 87 | 34 | 2 | 3,203 | 22 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 39.8% | 6,025 | 1,925 | 3,918 | 119 | 61 | 2 | 5,962 | 35 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 64.5% | 9,758 | 3,231 | 6,247 | 173 | 103 | 4 | 9,651 | 51 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 76.0% | 11,504 | 3,743 | 7,446 | 192 | 116 | 7 | 11,381 | 58 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 87.1% | 13,180 | 4,288 | 8,534 | 214 | 134 | 10 | 13,036 | 65 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.9% | 14,663 | 4,757 | 9,519 | 224 | 143 | 20 | 14,500 | 71 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 15,132 | 4,941 | 9,791 | 232 | 148 | 20 | 14,964 | 73 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex