AYAPEL (CORDOBA)
Municipio code 13004. 113 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 18844.34784 / (1 + e^(-0.19348(t - 38.62313))) | 18844.34784 | 0.19348 | 38.62313 | 0.99949 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 8727.51796 / (1 + e^(-0.19482(t - 38.40776))) | 8727.51796 | 0.19482 | 38.40776 | 0.99949 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 9800.88504 / (1 + e^(-0.19287(t - 38.83173))) | 9800.88504 | 0.19287 | 38.83173 | 0.99948 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 172.10850 / (1 + e^(-0.18631(t - 36.84565))) | 172.10850 | 0.18631 | 36.84565 | 0.99890 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 109.03327 / (1 + e^(-0.17407(t - 38.81887))) | 109.03327 | 0.17407 | 38.81887 | 0.99916 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 34.83053 / (1 + e^(-0.18925(t - 42.19811))) | 34.83053 | 0.18925 | 42.19811 | 0.99489 |
| Validos | y(t) = 18700.50497 / (1 + e^(-0.19362(t - 38.61543))) | 18700.50497 | 0.19362 | 38.61543 | 0.99949 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 113.03300 / (1 + e^(-0.17830(t - 36.92786))) | 113.03300 | 0.17830 | 36.92786 | 0.99916 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.1% | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.9% | 1,110 | 485 | 598 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1,102 | 13 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.1% | 2,462 | 1,192 | 1,215 | 34 | 19 | 2 | 2,441 | 23 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 31.9% | 6,019 | 2,857 | 3,055 | 66 | 35 | 6 | 5,978 | 44 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 49.5% | 9,324 | 4,398 | 4,765 | 96 | 52 | 13 | 9,259 | 63 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.2% | 13,801 | 6,481 | 7,082 | 141 | 78 | 19 | 13,704 | 88 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 88.9% | 16,760 | 7,821 | 8,663 | 154 | 92 | 30 | 16,638 | 103 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.7% | 18,419 | 8,539 | 9,573 | 170 | 106 | 31 | 18,282 | 111 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.7% | 18,419 | 8,539 | 9,573 | 170 | 106 | 31 | 18,282 | 111 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.0% | 18,658 | 8,653 | 9,693 | 172 | 108 | 32 | 18,518 | 112 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.0% | 18,658 | 8,653 | 9,693 | 172 | 108 | 32 | 18,518 | 112 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.0% | 18,658 | 8,653 | 9,693 | 172 | 108 | 32 | 18,518 | 112 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 18,844 | 8,727 | 9,801 | 172 | 109 | 35 | 18,700 | 113 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex