MONGUI (BOYACA)
Municipio code 07157. 12 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3031.61555 / (1 + e^(-0.21289(t - 45.74629))) | 3031.61555 | 0.21289 | 45.74629 | 0.99472 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 963.62015 / (1 + e^(-0.22540(t - 46.78141))) | 963.62015 | 0.22540 | 46.78141 | 0.99523 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2000.77522 / (1 + e^(-0.20925(t - 45.24227))) | 2000.77522 | 0.20925 | 45.24227 | 0.99446 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 41.07469 / (1 + e^(-0.23806(t - 45.76867))) | 41.07469 | 0.23806 | 45.76867 | 0.99321 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 22.04189 / (1 + e^(-0.22573(t - 46.57762))) | 22.04189 | 0.22573 | 46.57762 | 0.99262 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.98744 / (1 + e^(-0.22662(t - 41.09877))) | 3.98744 | 0.22662 | 41.09877 | 0.98370 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3005.57315 / (1 + e^(-0.21293(t - 45.74594))) | 3005.57315 | 0.21293 | 45.74594 | 0.99473 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 12.01779 / (1 + e^(-0.20830(t - 45.42343))) | 12.01779 | 0.20830 | 45.42343 | 0.99410 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 31.1% | 941 | 249 | 672 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 933 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 39.7% | 1,203 | 330 | 847 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1,192 | 5 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 57.6% | 1,744 | 507 | 1,199 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1,730 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.4% | 2,767 | 871 | 1,831 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 2,743 | 11 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,027 | 962 | 1,998 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex