GUICAN (BOYACA)
Municipio code 07112. 12 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1868.19882 / (1 + e^(-0.41018(t - 39.38661))) | 1868.19882 | 0.41018 | 39.38661 | 0.99414 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 753.66443 / (1 + e^(-0.48779(t - 38.78582))) | 753.66443 | 0.48779 | 38.78582 | 0.99704 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1058.21970 / (1 + e^(-0.35527(t - 40.01901))) | 1058.21970 | 0.35527 | 40.01901 | 0.99146 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 30.97076 / (1 + e^(-0.53092(t - 37.89125))) | 30.97076 | 0.53092 | 37.89125 | 0.99797 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 21.95516 / (1 + e^(-0.26159(t - 39.02054))) | 21.95516 | 0.26159 | 39.02054 | 0.99363 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.94977 / (1 + e^(-0.93214(t - 37.81271))) | 3.94977 | 0.93214 | 37.81271 | 0.97183 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1842.28770 / (1 + e^(-0.41236(t - 39.39043))) | 1842.28770 | 0.41236 | 39.39043 | 0.99416 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 11.99572 / (1 + e^(-0.21954(t - 36.40028))) | 11.99572 | 0.21954 | 36.40028 | 0.99285 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.6% | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.6% | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.2% | 60 | 39 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 57 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 3.2% | 60 | 39 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 57 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 49.2% | 923 | 409 | 480 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 909 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 86.4% | 1,620 | 688 | 880 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 1,598 | 11 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.4% | 1,620 | 688 | 880 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 1,598 | 11 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 86.4% | 1,620 | 688 | 880 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 1,598 | 11 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,876 | 756 | 1,063 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 1,850 | 12 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex