MANATI (ATLANTICO)
Municipio code 03025. 49 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 7812.83794 / (1 + e^(-0.22249(t - 27.99403))) | 7812.83794 | 0.22249 | 27.99403 | 0.99695 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2743.54713 / (1 + e^(-0.21838(t - 27.64950))) | 2743.54713 | 0.21838 | 27.64950 | 0.99695 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4971.55866 / (1 + e^(-0.22524(t - 28.18055))) | 4971.55866 | 0.22524 | 28.18055 | 0.99688 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 67.79711 / (1 + e^(-0.22694(t - 26.63924))) | 67.79711 | 0.22694 | 26.63924 | 0.99706 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 20.85872 / (1 + e^(-0.22061(t - 31.63235))) | 20.85872 | 0.22061 | 31.63235 | 0.99149 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.00072 / (1 + e^(-0.26633(t - 28.51475))) | 9.00072 | 0.26633 | 28.51475 | 0.99236 |
| Validos | y(t) = 7782.97829 / (1 + e^(-0.22251(t - 27.98343))) | 7782.97829 | 0.22251 | 27.98343 | 0.99695 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 48.84656 / (1 + e^(-0.21828(t - 26.86791))) | 48.84656 | 0.21828 | 26.86791 | 0.99821 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.4% | 30 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 8.9% | 701 | 284 | 409 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 701 | 7 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 31.0% | 2,434 | 933 | 1,469 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 2,428 | 18 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 56.0% | 4,397 | 1,580 | 2,761 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 4,386 | 30 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 81.0% | 6,353 | 2,246 | 4,029 | 55 | 15 | 8 | 6,330 | 41 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 87.6% | 6,874 | 2,420 | 4,368 | 61 | 17 | 8 | 6,849 | 44 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 91.9% | 7,215 | 2,543 | 4,582 | 64 | 17 | 9 | 7,189 | 46 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 97.0% | 7,612 | 2,679 | 4,837 | 67 | 20 | 9 | 7,583 | 48 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.0% | 7,612 | 2,679 | 4,837 | 67 | 20 | 9 | 7,583 | 48 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.0% | 7,612 | 2,679 | 4,837 | 67 | 20 | 9 | 7,583 | 48 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.0% | 7,612 | 2,679 | 4,837 | 67 | 20 | 9 | 7,583 | 48 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.0% | 7,612 | 2,679 | 4,837 | 67 | 20 | 9 | 7,583 | 48 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.0% | 7,612 | 2,679 | 4,837 | 67 | 20 | 9 | 7,583 | 48 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 97.0% | 7,612 | 2,679 | 4,837 | 67 | 20 | 9 | 7,583 | 48 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 7,848 | 2,755 | 4,995 | 68 | 21 | 9 | 7,818 | 49 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex