ZARAGOZA (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01301. 66 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9257.78835 / (1 + e^(-0.11836(t - 44.43139))) | 9257.78835 | 0.11836 | 44.43139 | 0.99731 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 5275.63390 / (1 + e^(-0.11718(t - 44.66968))) | 5275.63390 | 0.11718 | 44.66968 | 0.99706 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3613.56310 / (1 + e^(-0.11918(t - 44.17518))) | 3613.56310 | 0.11918 | 44.17518 | 0.99750 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 181.76837 / (1 + e^(-0.13128(t - 42.16628))) | 181.76837 | 0.13128 | 42.16628 | 0.99744 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 149.88265 / (1 + e^(-0.12651(t - 44.82211))) | 149.88265 | 0.12651 | 44.82211 | 0.99714 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 36.99820 / (1 + e^(-0.13211(t - 45.67223))) | 36.99820 | 0.13211 | 45.67223 | 0.99196 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9070.89915 / (1 + e^(-0.11818(t - 44.41886))) | 9070.89915 | 0.11818 | 44.41886 | 0.99731 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 65.98663 / (1 + e^(-0.11520(t - 43.06308))) | 65.98663 | 0.11520 | 43.06308 | 0.99742 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 31 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.4% | 224 | 127 | 86 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 221 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 14.5% | 1,343 | 727 | 569 | 31 | 16 | 0 | 1,327 | 12 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 21.6% | 1,997 | 1,092 | 834 | 40 | 27 | 4 | 1,966 | 17 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 35.7% | 3,303 | 1,901 | 1,264 | 76 | 48 | 14 | 3,241 | 27 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 55.0% | 5,097 | 2,878 | 2,011 | 107 | 80 | 21 | 4,996 | 38 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 63.6% | 5,889 | 3,331 | 2,302 | 136 | 99 | 21 | 5,769 | 44 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 74.3% | 6,881 | 3,881 | 2,713 | 147 | 114 | 26 | 6,741 | 50 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 80.1% | 7,417 | 4,153 | 2,961 | 153 | 120 | 30 | 7,267 | 54 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 86.6% | 8,022 | 4,548 | 3,151 | 163 | 128 | 32 | 7,862 | 58 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 93.7% | 8,674 | 4,941 | 3,384 | 172 | 140 | 37 | 8,497 | 62 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,259 | 5,276 | 3,614 | 182 | 150 | 37 | 9,072 | 66 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex