VIGIA DEL FUERTE (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01291. 25 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3051.65263 / (1 + e^(-0.24159(t - 33.56225))) | 3051.65263 | 0.24159 | 33.56225 | 0.99814 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2495.83343 / (1 + e^(-0.23890(t - 33.09135))) | 2495.83343 | 0.23890 | 33.09135 | 0.99830 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 522.68915 / (1 + e^(-0.27017(t - 35.54843))) | 522.68915 | 0.27017 | 35.54843 | 0.99734 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 12.01889 / (1 + e^(-0.25026(t - 35.83543))) | 12.01889 | 0.25026 | 35.83543 | 0.99481 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.00710 / (1 + e^(-0.43333(t - 36.41116))) | 12.00710 | 0.43333 | 36.41116 | 0.99940 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.01656 / (1 + e^(-0.31623(t - 38.25929))) | 9.01656 | 0.31623 | 38.25929 | 0.98903 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3030.61218 / (1 + e^(-0.24140(t - 33.53594))) | 3030.61218 | 0.24140 | 33.53594 | 0.99815 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 25.03170 / (1 + e^(-0.20938(t - 31.64759))) | 25.03170 | 0.20938 | 31.64759 | 0.99815 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.0% | 29 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 10.6% | 323 | 293 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 323 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 28.0% | 852 | 757 | 90 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 849 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 50.2% | 1,530 | 1,310 | 210 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1,525 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 75.6% | 2,303 | 1,942 | 341 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 2,290 | 20 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,048 | 2,493 | 522 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 3,027 | 25 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex