OLAYA (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01193. 10 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1832.42097 / (1 + e^(-0.14317(t - 46.52387))) | 1832.42097 | 0.14317 | 46.52387 | 0.98102 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 370.97080 / (1 + e^(-0.12268(t - 46.54348))) | 370.97080 | 0.12268 | 46.54348 | 0.96939 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1431.14544 / (1 + e^(-0.14805(t - 46.55495))) | 1431.14544 | 0.14805 | 46.55495 | 0.98304 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 14.94641 / (1 + e^(-0.09177(t - 50.94492))) | 14.94641 | 0.09177 | 50.94492 | 0.96580 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 10.90971 / (1 + e^(-0.13701(t - 47.95280))) | 10.90971 | 0.13701 | 47.95280 | 0.96719 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00200 / (1 + e^(-0.19568(t - 46.93183))) | 5.00200 | 0.19568 | 46.93183 | 0.98019 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1816.52907 / (1 + e^(-0.14303(t - 46.51601))) | 1816.52907 | 0.14303 | 46.51601 | 0.98106 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 9.94745 / (1 + e^(-0.14091(t - 43.83309))) | 9.94745 | 0.14091 | 43.83309 | 0.98481 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.5% | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 9.9% | 183 | 40 | 142 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 9.9% | 183 | 40 | 142 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 2 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 63.4% | 1,168 | 253 | 896 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1,158 | 7 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 63.4% | 1,168 | 253 | 896 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1,158 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 63.4% | 1,168 | 253 | 896 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1,158 | 7 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 87.8% | 1,618 | 302 | 1,291 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1,604 | 9 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 87.8% | 1,618 | 302 | 1,291 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1,604 | 9 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 87.8% | 1,618 | 302 | 1,291 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1,604 | 9 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 87.8% | 1,618 | 302 | 1,291 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1,604 | 9 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 87.8% | 1,618 | 302 | 1,291 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1,604 | 9 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,843 | 374 | 1,438 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1,827 | 10 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex