NARIÑO (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01190. 29 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4359.70125 / (1 + e^(-0.06523(t - 55.47728))) | 4359.70125 | 0.06523 | 55.47728 | 0.98455 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 417.92438 / (1 + e^(-0.06496(t - 57.85496))) | 417.92438 | 0.06496 | 57.85496 | 0.98344 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3848.48423 / (1 + e^(-0.06538(t - 55.32353))) | 3848.48423 | 0.06538 | 55.32353 | 0.98464 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 60.28388 / (1 + e^(-0.06299(t - 55.73894))) | 60.28388 | 0.06299 | 55.73894 | 0.98342 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 16.03364 / (1 + e^(-0.06431(t - 48.21290))) | 16.03364 | 0.06431 | 48.21290 | 0.97839 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 16.81595 / (1 + e^(-0.10969(t - 36.95964))) | 16.81595 | 0.10969 | 36.95964 | 0.96693 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4326.68533 / (1 + e^(-0.06528(t - 55.57282))) | 4326.68533 | 0.06528 | 55.57282 | 0.98458 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 29.09420 / (1 + e^(-0.06317(t - 52.35762))) | 29.09420 | 0.06317 | 52.35762 | 0.98279 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 9.3% | 404 | 24 | 371 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 400 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 18.7% | 812 | 66 | 722 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 803 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 24.4% | 1,061 | 91 | 938 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1,045 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 27.2% | 1,183 | 101 | 1,047 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 1,165 | 10 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 31.6% | 1,372 | 115 | 1,221 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1,354 | 11 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 42.4% | 1,842 | 164 | 1,628 | 27 | 9 | 14 | 1,819 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 56.3% | 2,443 | 226 | 2,163 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 2,419 | 17 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 62.1% | 2,697 | 246 | 2,389 | 37 | 11 | 14 | 2,672 | 19 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 62.1% | 2,697 | 246 | 2,389 | 37 | 11 | 14 | 2,672 | 19 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 62.1% | 2,697 | 246 | 2,389 | 37 | 11 | 14 | 2,672 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 62.1% | 2,697 | 246 | 2,389 | 37 | 11 | 14 | 2,672 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 70.1% | 3,045 | 272 | 2,704 | 42 | 13 | 14 | 3,018 | 21 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 92.9% | 4,032 | 363 | 3,582 | 54 | 16 | 17 | 3,999 | 27 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,342 | 416 | 3,833 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 4,309 | 29 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex