LA ESTRELLA (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01166. 197 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 44416.76499 / (1 + e^(-0.19309(t - 39.93450))) | 44416.76499 | 0.19309 | 39.93450 | 0.99952 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 14555.43564 / (1 + e^(-0.19577(t - 40.33594))) | 14555.43564 | 0.19577 | 40.33594 | 0.99936 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 28373.32472 / (1 + e^(-0.19224(t - 39.74487))) | 28373.32472 | 0.19224 | 39.74487 | 0.99958 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 964.93432 / (1 + e^(-0.18986(t - 39.93813))) | 964.93432 | 0.18986 | 39.93813 | 0.99927 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 481.83256 / (1 + e^(-0.18472(t - 39.06416))) | 481.83256 | 0.18472 | 39.06416 | 0.99927 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 41.02194 / (1 + e^(-0.18943(t - 36.79235))) | 41.02194 | 0.18943 | 36.79235 | 0.99843 |
| Validos | y(t) = 43893.89940 / (1 + e^(-0.19320(t - 39.94667))) | 43893.89940 | 0.19320 | 39.94667 | 0.99952 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 196.89922 / (1 + e^(-0.18301(t - 39.15880))) | 196.89922 | 0.18301 | 39.15880 | 0.99942 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.3% | 1,020 | 293 | 670 | 34 | 21 | 2 | 997 | 8 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.6% | 5,591 | 1,707 | 3,664 | 133 | 77 | 10 | 5,504 | 32 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 24.2% | 10,760 | 3,239 | 7,134 | 233 | 139 | 15 | 10,606 | 55 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 46.3% | 20,573 | 6,448 | 13,421 | 445 | 235 | 24 | 20,314 | 97 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 66.0% | 29,340 | 9,381 | 18,966 | 627 | 334 | 32 | 28,974 | 135 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 87.9% | 39,076 | 12,843 | 24,901 | 858 | 435 | 39 | 38,602 | 175 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 92.8% | 41,231 | 13,359 | 26,496 | 893 | 444 | 39 | 40,748 | 183 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.7% | 43,417 | 14,167 | 27,795 | 945 | 469 | 41 | 42,907 | 192 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.6% | 43,830 | 14,346 | 28,013 | 953 | 477 | 41 | 43,312 | 194 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.3% | 44,113 | 14,392 | 28,244 | 957 | 479 | 41 | 43,593 | 195 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.3% | 44,113 | 14,392 | 28,244 | 957 | 479 | 41 | 43,593 | 195 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.7% | 44,290 | 14,491 | 28,314 | 964 | 480 | 41 | 43,769 | 196 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.7% | 44,290 | 14,491 | 28,314 | 964 | 480 | 41 | 43,769 | 196 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.7% | 44,290 | 14,491 | 28,314 | 964 | 480 | 41 | 43,769 | 196 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 44,432 | 14,566 | 28,378 | 965 | 482 | 41 | 43,909 | 197 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex