EL BAGRE (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01117. 124 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 19237.17290 / (1 + e^(-0.22266(t - 37.95118))) | 19237.17290 | 0.22266 | 37.95118 | 0.99954 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 10699.89127 / (1 + e^(-0.22351(t - 38.07438))) | 10699.89127 | 0.22351 | 38.07438 | 0.99947 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 7841.80262 / (1 + e^(-0.22111(t - 37.71500))) | 7841.80262 | 0.22111 | 37.71500 | 0.99957 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 459.63873 / (1 + e^(-0.23465(t - 38.56915))) | 459.63873 | 0.23465 | 38.56915 | 0.99932 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 181.72593 / (1 + e^(-0.23027(t - 39.38997))) | 181.72593 | 0.23027 | 39.38997 | 0.99904 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 54.01978 / (1 + e^(-0.24298(t - 37.53599))) | 54.01978 | 0.24298 | 37.53599 | 0.99925 |
| Validos | y(t) = 19001.42237 / (1 + e^(-0.22258(t - 37.93858))) | 19001.42237 | 0.22258 | 37.93858 | 0.99954 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 123.86304 / (1 + e^(-0.21967(t - 38.12016))) | 123.86304 | 0.21967 | 38.12016 | 0.99944 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.4% | 72 | 41 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.5% | 295 | 180 | 111 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 294 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.5% | 2,590 | 1,425 | 1,088 | 56 | 15 | 6 | 2,569 | 17 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 31.3% | 6,019 | 3,284 | 2,543 | 126 | 48 | 18 | 5,953 | 38 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 53.3% | 10,255 | 5,567 | 4,351 | 225 | 82 | 30 | 10,143 | 64 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 79.8% | 15,362 | 8,591 | 6,228 | 366 | 132 | 45 | 15,185 | 98 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 93.3% | 17,963 | 9,950 | 7,361 | 430 | 170 | 52 | 17,741 | 116 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.6% | 18,796 | 10,447 | 7,665 | 452 | 179 | 53 | 18,564 | 121 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 99.4% | 19,142 | 10,643 | 7,808 | 457 | 180 | 54 | 18,908 | 123 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 19,252 | 10,709 | 7,847 | 460 | 182 | 54 | 19,016 | 124 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex