CARACOLI (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01078. 16 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2313.88009 / (1 + e^(-0.30662(t - 36.87314))) | 2313.88009 | 0.30662 | 36.87314 | 0.99936 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 597.51605 / (1 + e^(-0.28955(t - 36.24229))) | 597.51605 | 0.28955 | 36.24229 | 0.99883 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1659.27138 / (1 + e^(-0.31674(t - 37.16351))) | 1659.27138 | 0.31674 | 37.16351 | 0.99942 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 30.00257 / (1 + e^(-0.28299(t - 33.22418))) | 30.00257 | 0.28299 | 33.22418 | 0.99845 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 21.01630 / (1 + e^(-0.29186(t - 36.01705))) | 21.01630 | 0.29186 | 36.01705 | 0.99879 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.64847(t - 36.50267))) | 6.00000 | 9.64847 | 36.50267 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2286.87102 / (1 + e^(-0.30606(t - 36.88172))) | 2286.87102 | 0.30606 | 36.88172 | 0.99935 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 16.01891 / (1 + e^(-0.22738(t - 34.78122))) | 16.01891 | 0.22738 | 34.78122 | 0.99835 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.9% | 44 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.9% | 44 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.9% | 229 | 75 | 144 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 227 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 30.2% | 698 | 217 | 456 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 690 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 62.6% | 1,448 | 384 | 1,020 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 1,428 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 93.8% | 2,168 | 569 | 1,544 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 2,142 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,312 | 597 | 1,658 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 2,285 | 16 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex