ARMENIA (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01040. 14 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2524.09839 / (1 + e^(-0.29534(t - 43.94234))) | 2524.09839 | 0.29534 | 43.94234 | 0.99816 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 544.78209 / (1 + e^(-0.24369(t - 43.40033))) | 544.78209 | 0.24369 | 43.40033 | 0.99811 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1925.20375 / (1 + e^(-0.31766(t - 44.11795))) | 1925.20375 | 0.31766 | 44.11795 | 0.99819 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 30.05617 / (1 + e^(-0.23962(t - 43.75564))) | 30.05617 | 0.23962 | 43.75564 | 0.99442 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.00122 / (1 + e^(-0.26209(t - 41.20302))) | 12.00122 | 0.26209 | 41.20302 | 0.99823 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 12.01520 / (1 + e^(-0.31507(t - 41.86430))) | 12.01520 | 0.31507 | 41.86430 | 0.99722 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2500.06980 / (1 + e^(-0.29597(t - 43.96607))) | 2500.06980 | 0.29597 | 43.96607 | 0.99815 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 14.02057 / (1 + e^(-0.24779(t - 42.92478))) | 14.02057 | 0.24779 | 42.92478 | 0.99787 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 2.3% | 59 | 20 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 8.6% | 217 | 65 | 144 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 215 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 23.4% | 591 | 160 | 414 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 582 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 43.6% | 1,100 | 256 | 817 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 1,085 | 7 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.8% | 2,162 | 440 | 1,675 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 2,140 | 12 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,521 | 544 | 1,923 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 2,497 | 14 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex